Jerry Eichenberger
Serious Thumper
   
Offline

2006 S40. OEM windshield, saddle bags, Sportster
Posts: 2919
Columbus, Ohio
Gender:
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LA -
A bit more response to your post:
"Trickle down" is an old phrase first used by Hubert Humphrey in the late 1960s. It really has no meaning, other than to generate hard feelings.
I have no sure fire answer to stimulating demand, yet we must stimulate demand to stimulate manufacturing, home building, and other major sectors of the economy.
What I do know is that minor tax cuts for lower earning people, while politically popular, have no real effect. As I said earlier, giving some poor souls on the edge of poverty another $10 per week in the net paychecks doesn't get the job done.
Since I'm also no expert in banking regulation, I really don't know what effect teh "stress tests" that the Obama administration has put upon banks have done. I do know that the tightened lending standards have hurt consumer financing. One of my friends is a Ford dealer in a small town.
He has told me that the traffic thru his dealership never really fell all that much, but over the past 18 months or so, the main problem he's had is that he just can't get financing for the lower 25% - 30% of what would be new car customers, like he could 3 or 4 years ago. These aren't jobless customers, but just folks with a little less income, or a little poorer credit score than is required now; people who could get a new car 3 or 4 years ago, but can't today.
We need to get banks lending again, whatever that takes to do it responsibly.
I don't advocate going back to the "liars loans" for houses that started all of this mess 5 years ago, but there has to be a reasonable middle ground over the too strict standards of today.
I know in my own business that we could sell a few more airplanes if lending were lightened up some.
Then, normal people, with reasonable jobs need to get off of the "fear wagon", and live normally. Again, I don't mean reckless borrowing, but ole FDR said it best when he told the nation in 1932 that "all we have to fear is fear itself". I know many people who are plainly hoarding money, not replacing old cars, basically not buying much of anything that they absolutely don't have to buy - that mentality will never spur a recovery.
Perhaps the Bush tax cuts do need to expire - we've got to do something to get the national deficit somewhat under control. And, letting them expire really won't hit even upper income people very hard.
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