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Breaking the Climate Spell (Read 413 times)
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #30 - 08/16/18 at 05:00:13
 
Well, millions will suffer and economies will disintegrate if there's nothing done about climate change.

You're supposed to represent the party of science but that statement is completely unknowable. How do you know that? Whose to say a couple of degrees won't actually have a net positive? Couldn't land lost to higher ocean levels mean land gained in northern climates? Longer growing seasons. Far more people die from cold weather than die from hot weather. Isn't the whole premise of global warming centered around what's done in one part of the globe changes another part? If the climate in St Louis evolved to match the climate of Atlanta, you're positive that would be bad?
No one knows that with certainty.

The climate change spell is being broken finally because predictions made 20 years ago about the conditions we should be living in today have not even remotely materialized. It was a theory which seems to be only partially correct. The effects of human activity have only fractionally increased temperatures, not dramatically as predicted. There were and maybe always will be too many variables to account for.
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T And T Garage
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #31 - 08/16/18 at 05:50:08
 
WebsterMark wrote on 08/16/18 at 05:00:13:
Well, millions will suffer and economies will disintegrate if there's nothing done about climate change.

You're supposed to represent the party of science but that statement is completely unknowable.

Well, given the average rise in severity of typhoons and hurricanes, that actually is a knowable statement.

How do you know that? Whose to say a couple of degrees won't actually have a net positive?

Well, scientists - because so far, it's made things worse.  Look at CA as just one example.

Couldn't land lost to higher ocean levels mean land gained in northern climates? Longer growing seasons.

Maybe in a few areas, but most others will suffer droughts, or flooding with no middle ground.

Far more people die from cold weather than die from hot weather. Isn't the whole premise of global warming centered around what's done in one part of the globe changes another part? If the climate in St Louis evolved to match the climate of Atlanta, you're positive that would be bad?

What happens in Atlanta then - record high temps?

No one knows that with certainty.

I'd say that the scientific community can tell with some degree of certainty.

The climate change spell is being broken finally because predictions made 20 years ago about the conditions we should be living in today have not even remotely materialized. It was a theory which seems to be only partially correct. The effects of human activity have only fractionally increased temperatures, not dramatically as predicted. There were and maybe always will be too many variables to account for.


I (and most scientists) disagree.
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WebsterMark
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #32 - 08/16/18 at 06:30:10
 


Well, scientists - because so far, it's made things worse.  Look at CA as just one example.

What about CA? I'm in LA right now by the way. The fires everyone is talking about? What proof is there they are worse? I was here last year during the heavy rains and flooding. It was naturally proclaimed the worst ever and more proof of climate change, but as only a few publications pointed out, in 1861 it rained far worse. The flooding would have wiped out most of central CA's produce fields.

Fires seem worse today because houses are destroyed but 200 years ago, whose to say? Didn't you just tell me 60 years or so is too short a timeframe?

Couldn't land lost to higher ocean levels mean land gained in northern climates? Longer growing seasons.

Maybe in a few areas, but most others will suffer droughts, or flooding with no middle ground.

They WILL SUFFER? Really? You're sure about that? Who told you that? The same people who told you by now we'd be far warmer than we actually are?

Far more people die from cold weather than die from hot weather. Isn't the whole premise of global warming centered around what's done in one part of the globe changes another part? If the climate in St Louis evolved to match the climate of Atlanta, you're positive that would be bad?

What happens in Atlanta then - record high temps?  
Record high by how much?

No one knows that with certainty.

I'd say that the scientific community can tell with some degree of certainty.

They were certain the temp would be higher today that it actually is. They were absolutely certain. Now they're trying to figure out why they were so wrong.


The climate change spell is being broken finally because predictions made 20 years ago about the conditions we should be living in today have not even remotely materialized. It was a theory which seems to be only partially correct. The effects of human activity have only fractionally increased temperatures, not dramatically as predicted. There were and maybe always will be too many variables to account for.

I (and most scientists) disagree.


There's a story known as The Piltdown Man. When evolutionary studies were first taking off, a few bones were 'found' that many jumped on as another evolutionary link in human development. I don't know the specific details of what made them so significant, but it was a big deal that altered the direction of evolutionary study. A few scientist had their doubts, but work progress in another direction by most scientist based on those bones. Many PhD thesis were no doubt written and vast sums of money spent. At some point, maybe 25 years later, it was proven the bones were from a pig or something like that. It had been a fraud all along.  Look it up, I'm going from memory and I'm sure some of the details are wrong.

The point is, what we are sure about today, we often find out tomorrow we were wrong about. The fact that 20 years ago, predictions were promised that have not occurred, should give us all pause. Maybe, it's not nearly as bad as it seems. Maybe, there's way to many variables to predict.
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MnSpring
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #33 - 08/16/18 at 06:47:03
 
T And T Garage wrote on 08/15/18 at 21:28:07:
Well, millions will suffer and economies will disintegrate if there's nothing done about climate change.

Absoulaty amazing.  I can remember a time, when the scientists all screamed, ICE AGE is coming.
We are not even out if the last one, yet the new one is coming very soon !
(Nothing was said about how long, ‘very soon’ was though)

Then much later, their was the Big Hole in the Ozone, everyone is going to fry, and it’s all Hair Spray, and Right Guard’s fault.
(How many have never held up a Bic lighter, and a can of Right Guard)

Then later, it was ‘Global Warming’, and soon it will be 70 degrees in Winnipeg in Jan.
Well then it changed to, ‘Climate Change’.  But it’s still happening very rapidly.
(Although no-one, again, ever outlined proof of, ‘how’ rapid)

Now, the, ‘expert’, T&T, says, “… You’re not going to see a noticeable climate change in the span of 60 or so years. …” “…It happens over hundreds of years…”

Hmmmm. Wonder what could happen in, hundreds of years?
After all. Only 49 years ago, it took 3 years to build the most advanced Computer ever, to help guide Man to the Moon. And it took up the space in the rocket, orbiting module, and landing module.

Today, their is MORE, computer power in your Cell phone.
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Ben Franklin once said: "If you give up a freedom, for the sake of security, you will have neither".
Which is More TRUE, today, than yesterday.('06, S-40, Stock) well, mostly .
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #34 - 08/16/18 at 07:03:00
 
today, their is MORE, computer power in your Cell phone.

EXACTLY !!!!!

We do not know where/what energy will look like in a decade.
You very well might have a "chip" of some kind that generates enough power to drive a car, etc....

However, don't let the screaming go to waste.
I posted out about not letting the wild fires go to waste, as Brown went begging.....
This is what politics have evolved to.
No longer do we seek solutions, no, only opportunities to empower our own self.

Oh well, it does provide a good example of insanity. acting crazy  Grin
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“The biggest big business in America is not steel, automobiles, or television. It is the manufacture, refinement and distribution of anxiety.”—Eric Sevareid (1964)
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MnSpring
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #35 - 08/16/18 at 07:26:26
 
Let me get this straight.

On another topic, (Never mind…….) T&T says:
“…there is no such thing as mining "clean coal".  Coal is coal is coal….”
“…  I hate to break your bubble, but there is no such thing as mining “clean coal”….”
“…Anything that burns is dirty….”

 etc, etc, etc,

Then others post, that their different kinds of coal, several times. and one of them is, ‘cleaner’, than others.
Which you lauded to several times it is not !.
Now Solar/Wind/Water/Etc are, ‘cleaner’. to which you admit below:
“…LOL - seriously mn?  That is a silly argument.  All the energy produced from these sources is clean.  No emissions….”
Yet you equate the Building and maintaining those things, and the eventual disposal, are not ‘clean’.
“…the building of the structures, etc. are not “clean”, but then, neither are the massive scrubbers for coal….”

That’s exactly the same as someone saying; ‘look at my hybrid car, it gets 50+ MPG, look how I am saving the planet’
Hmmm, the plastic the car is made from, came from, where ?  How was it heated and molded ?  How is it recycled ?  What is the battery made of ?  How is that recycled ? What items are used, in the melting/crushing/machine, of a recycling process ? How were the recycling machines made ?

So which is it ?   Do we work with something that is, ‘cleaner’, and keep going in that direction?
Or do we abandon ALL things, because they are NOT, perfectly Clean ?
“…Anything that burns is dirty….”

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Ben Franklin once said: "If you give up a freedom, for the sake of security, you will have neither".
Which is More TRUE, today, than yesterday.('06, S-40, Stock) well, mostly .
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T And T Garage
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #36 - 08/16/18 at 07:56:55
 
MnSpring wrote on 08/16/18 at 07:26:26:
Let me get this straight.

On another topic, (Never mind…….) T&T says:
“…there is no such thing as mining "clean coal".  Coal is coal is coal….”
“…  I hate to break your bubble, but there is no such thing as mining “clean coal”….”
“…Anything that burns is dirty….”

 etc, etc, etc,

Then others post, that their different kinds of coal, several times. and one of them is, ‘cleaner’, than others.
Which you lauded to several times it is not !.

No, it's not.  Just because it burns more efficiently doesn't make it cleaner.  Higher carbon content only means more CO2.

Now Solar/Wind/Water/Etc are, ‘cleaner’. to which you admit below:
“…LOL - seriously mn?  That is a silly argument.  All the energy produced from these sources is clean.  No emissions….”
Yet you equate the Building and maintaining those things, and the eventual disposal, are not ‘clean’.
“…the building of the structures, etc. are not “clean”, but then, neither are the massive scrubbers for coal….”


No, they may not be clean, but they produce energy WITHOUT EMISSIONS.  That is the point.

That’s exactly the same as someone saying; ‘look at my hybrid car, it gets 50+ MPG, look how I am saving the planet’
Hmmm, the plastic the car is made from, came from, where ?  How was it heated and molded ?  How is it recycled ?  What is the battery made of ?  How is that recycled ? What items are used, in the melting/crushing/machine, of a recycling process ? How were the recycling machines made ?

No, you just don't seem to get it.  While the manufacturing process might be imperfect - the energy that's produced is done so with no emissions.  The hybrid car may use the same manufacturing techniques as conventional cars, but in its lifetime it will emit FAR LESS EMISSIONS than a conventional car.

So which is it ?   Do we work with something that is, ‘cleaner’, and keep going in that direction?

Yes, we continue in that direction.

Or do we abandon ALL things, because they are NOT, perfectly Clean ?
“…Anything that burns is dirty….”


It's really not that hard to understand.  I think you're making it more difficult on purpose.
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MnSpring
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #37 - 08/16/18 at 08:49:14
 
T And T Garage wrote on 08/16/18 at 07:56:55:
"... The hybrid car may use the same manufacturing techniques as conventional cars, but in its lifetime it will emit FAR LESS EMISSIONS than a conventional car.

First the 'Hybrid' car, Today, takes Much more, "...manufacturing techniques ..." than, "...conventional cars...".  And is, 'dirtier' !

“…  but in its lifetime it will emit FAR LESS EMISSIONS than a conventional car….”

Wrong !
Take one, put 300,000 miles on one in 20 years, (say your are lucky), change out the battery only 2 times. (that would mean, 3 batteries)
That, ‘hybrid’, produced MORE  pollution, Over its life time, then a 70’s muscle car getting, 10 MPG, in the same time.
Starting with the oil/steel/etc.,  in the ground, to both being completely dismantled, and turned into other things.

(Now for the Panty in a Bunch people)
Is a Hybrid car, now better than a 70’s muscle car ?
Well in the 70’s, gas at .25 cents, YEA.  Today, NO.
Should everybody go back that the 70’s car ?  I don’t think so for everyday driving.
All Cars, (including hybrids) are better today, and will be better tomorrow.
And as we have learned to do some, recycling a circuit board, that also will get much better.

OH: "...Just because it burns more efficiently doesn't make it cleaner. ..."
Think someone needs to go back to school.
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Ben Franklin once said: "If you give up a freedom, for the sake of security, you will have neither".
Which is More TRUE, today, than yesterday.('06, S-40, Stock) well, mostly .
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T And T Garage
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #38 - 08/16/18 at 09:31:59
 
MnSpring wrote on 08/16/18 at 08:49:14:
T And T Garage wrote on 08/16/18 at 07:56:55:
"... The hybrid car may use the same manufacturing techniques as conventional cars, but in its lifetime it will emit FAR LESS EMISSIONS than a conventional car.

First the 'Hybrid' car, Today, takes Much more, "...manufacturing techniques ..." than, "...conventional cars...".  And is, 'dirtier' !


Do you have proof of that?  Even if it does, over its lifetime that car will pollute less.  But I'd like to see the proof of what you say.


“…  but in its lifetime it will emit FAR LESS EMISSIONS than a conventional car….”[/color]
Wrong !
Take one, put 300,000 miles on one in 20 years, (say your are lucky), change out the battery only 2 times. (that would mean, 3 batteries)

What point are you trying to make?  First off, hybrids have only been around for about 10 years - in another 10, battery technology will far more efficient and less wasteful.  Second, how many conventional cars could even make it to 300K miles?

Again, provide some sort of proof other than just saying "wrong".  This is a silly straw man mn.


That, ‘hybrid’, produced MORE  pollution, Over its life time, then a 70’s muscle car getting, 10 MPG, in the same time.
Starting with the oil/steel/etc.,  in the ground, to both being completely dismantled, and turned into other things.

That's not even remotely true and you (and everybody who reads this) know it.

(Now for the Panty in a Bunch people)
Is a Hybrid car, now better than a 70’s muscle car ?
Well in the 70’s, gas at .25 cents, YEA.  Today, NO.
Should everybody go back that the 70’s car ?  I don’t think so for everyday driving.
All Cars, (including hybrids) are better today, and will be better tomorrow.
And as we have learned to do some, recycling a circuit board, that also will get much better.

Not sure what you're trying to say... but it's a simple fact that a hybrid car produces less emissions than a conventional one.

OH: "...Just because it burns more efficiently doesn't make it cleaner. ..."
Think someone needs to go back to school.


Why do you say that?  I explained it perfectly.  You refuse to acknowledge it.  That's on you, not me.
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #39 - 08/16/18 at 10:32:08
 
T And T Garage wrote on 08/16/18 at 09:31:59:
MnSpring wrote on 08/16/18 at 08:49:14:
Take one, put 300,000 miles on one in 20 years, (say your are lucky), change out the battery only 2 times. (that would mean, 3 batteries)

What point are you trying to make?  First off, hybrids have only been around for about 10 years - in another 10, battery technology will far more efficient and less wasteful.  Second, how many conventional cars could even make it to 300K miles?

Again, provide some sort of proof other than just saying "wrong".  This is a silly straw man mn.


That, ‘hybrid’, produced MORE  pollution, Over its life time, then a 70’s muscle car getting, 10 MPG, in the same time.
Starting with the oil/steel/etc.,  in the ground, to both being completely dismantled, and turned into other things.

That's not even remotely true and you (and everybody who reads this) know it.



1st your method of replying in a running argument leaves much to desire and I don't usually bother to read them entirely.

CO2 cost for hybrid cars was presented with the initial presentation of the cars, and should be a well known fact.  I recall it was compared with a conventional econobox car of the time.  You're not getting something for free, that just naive.

I'd call the pollution comparison questionable and would like to see the study on that one.
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #40 - 08/16/18 at 11:38:24
 
verslagen1 wrote on 08/16/18 at 10:32:08:
1st your method of replying in a running argument leaves much to desire and I don't usually bother to read them entirely.

I take it you're referring to me?  If not, sorry for the assumption.

CO2 cost for hybrid cars was presented with the initial presentation of the cars, and should be a well known fact.  I recall it was compared with a conventional econobox car of the time.  You're not getting something for free, that just naive.

It's a fairly easy concept to grasp;
http://science.howstuffworks.com/science-vs-myth/everyday-myths/does-hybrid-c...

But do the environmental impacts of hybrid vehicle production outweigh the long-term benefits of driving a cleaner running automobile? That answer is a resounding "no." If you drive both a conventional and hybrid car for 160,000 miles (257,495 kilometers), the conventional vehicle requires far more energy to operate and emits far more greenhouse gases over its lifetime, significantly canceling out any imbalance during the production stage [source: Burnham et al].

I'd call the pollution comparison questionable and would like to see the study on that one.

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MnSpring
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #41 - 08/16/18 at 13:16:08
 
"... I'd call the pollution comparison questionable and would like to see the study on that one..."

Gee from the SAME PLACE T&T posted, only he forgot to, READ it all !
https://science.howstuffworks.com/science-vs-myth/everyday-myths/does-hybrid-...
A Quote from it: "In 2007, a report commissioned by an auto industry trade group insisted that when you factor in the waste generated during production, the notoriously gas-guzzling Hummer is actually greener than the Prius”

"According to an in-depth study by the U.S. Department of Energy's Argonne National Laboratory, hybrid cars do, in fact, require more energy to produce than conventional cars, emitting more greenhouse gases and burning more fossil fuels during the manufacturing process. The production of hybrid batteries, in particular, requires much more energy”
Never mind that the words quoted by T&T, did NOT, consider production, and dismantling, which is ALL  part of the total cost/pollution.

This is interesting:
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/electric-cars-are-not-necessarily-...
"A recent study found that an electric car charged by utilities at night in the regional grid that stretches across Ohio, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Virginia creates more greenhouse gas pollution than if owners plugged in their vehicles at random times throughout the daytime, when the utility fuel mixes are more varied”

(It seems that, someone on this forum believes, that by ‘plugging’ in a elect car. The Electric just, ‘Magically’ appears.)


Here is one:  https://axleaddict.com/cars/Prius
"This may or may not come as some shock to you, but many scientists are saying that Toyota's best-selling hybrid, the Prius, is actually bad for the environment. Some are even asserting that it has a worse impact on our world than the widely-hated Hummer.”

And their are a TON of others.

Again for the Panty in a Bunch folk.
Just because the first experiments in making a car, (like the Prius and kind), less polluting, were/are, Failures.
It does not mean we should stop trying.
In fact, I believe the first, all elect car, was made in the late 20’s

So getting back to the question that started this all.
Should not we, (the USA), burn the, 'cleanest' coal, not the dirtiest ?

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Ben Franklin once said: "If you give up a freedom, for the sake of security, you will have neither".
Which is More TRUE, today, than yesterday.('06, S-40, Stock) well, mostly .
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #42 - 08/16/18 at 13:29:23
 
MnSpring wrote on 08/16/18 at 13:16:08:
So getting back to the question that started this all.
Should not we, (the USA), burn the, 'cleanest' coal, not the dirtiest ?



Certainly coal fired plants are going to disappear over night.
So burning cleaner fuel would mitigate there continued use.
But that's not the intent, make them use the worst fuel so there's an immediate need.
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #43 - 08/16/18 at 13:32:28
 
MnSpring wrote on 08/16/18 at 13:16:08:
"... I'd call the pollution comparison questionable and would like to see the study on that one..."

Gee from the SAME PLACE T&T posted, only he forgot to, READ it all !
https://science.howstuffworks.com/science-vs-myth/everyday-myths/does-hybrid-...
A Quote from it: "In 2007, a report commissioned by an auto industry trade group insisted that when you factor in the waste generated during production, the notoriously gas-guzzling Hummer is actually greener than the Prius”

But that's not the whole story, is it mn?

You left out - If you drive both a conventional and hybrid car for 160,000 miles (257,495 kilometers), the conventional vehicle requires far more energy to operate and emits far more greenhouse gases over its lifetime, significantly canceling out any imbalance during the production stage

"According to an in-depth study by the U.S. Department of Energy's Argonne National Laboratory, hybrid cars do, in fact, require more energy to produce than conventional cars, emitting more greenhouse gases and burning more fossil fuels during the manufacturing process. The production of hybrid batteries, in particular, requires much more energy”
Never mind that the words quoted by T&T, did NOT, consider production, and dismantling, which is ALL  part of the total cost/pollution.

This is interesting:
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/electric-cars-are-not-necessarily-...
"A recent study found that an electric car charged by utilities at night in the regional grid that stretches across Ohio, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Virginia creates more greenhouse gas pollution than if owners plugged in their vehicles at random times throughout the daytime, when the utility fuel mixes are more varied”

(It seems that, someone on this forum believes, that by ‘plugging’ in a elect car. The Electric just, ‘Magically’ appears.)


Here is one:  https://axleaddict.com/cars/Prius
"This may or may not come as some shock to you, but many scientists are saying that Toyota's best-selling hybrid, the Prius, is actually bad for the environment. Some are even asserting that it has a worse impact on our world than the widely-hated Hummer.”

And their are a TON of others.

Sorry mn, you're just wrong and picking apart the article.

IN THE OVERALL LIFE OF A CAR - A HYBRID OR FULLY ELECTRIC WILL HAVE LESS NET EFFECT ON THE ENVIRONMENT THAN A CONVENTIONAL GAS-BURNING CAR.

That is just a fact.

Again for the Panty in a Bunch folk.
Just because the first experiments in making a car, (like the Prius and kind), less polluting, were/are, Failures.
It does not mean we should stop trying.
In fact, I believe the first, all elect car, was made in the late 20’s

So getting back to the question that started this all.
Should not we, (the USA), burn the, 'cleanest' coal, not the dirtiest ?


We should not burn coal at all.

Period.

Full Stop.
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Re: Breaking the Climate Spell
Reply #44 - 08/16/18 at 13:39:11
 
Quote:
CO2 emissions by U.S. electric power sector by source, 2017

Source      Million metric tons      Share of sector total
Coal                     1,207                69%
Natural gas          506                  29%
Petroleum               19                  1%
Other2                  12                 <1%
Total      1,744

says it all.

even better...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_energy_consumption

13% total generated by renewable or nuclear
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